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📊 Nasdaq Trader → QQQ Options

Real Nasdaq Trader signals (C2, MNQ) mirrored 1:1 into QQQ options · Starting capital $10,000 · 740 trades · Generated 12-08-2026 12:08 UTC
3 options per signalIV 20% 1DTEATM Start $10,000
Approach: every real Nasdaq Trader trade (LONG → call, SHORT → put) priced on QQQ with Black-Scholes (r 4.5%, dividend 0.5%), fixed 3 options per signal, $2.00/contract round-trip costs. No compounding.
Total P&L
+$65,965
Final equity
$75,965
CAGR
+41.4%
Winrate
30.9%
Profit Factor
1.87
Max DD
−10.7%
Losing streak
12
Worst trade
$-714 (-7%)

📈 Equity curve + drawdown

Equity curve
Period Sep 2020 → Jul 2026 · fixed 3 options per signal · equity = start + cumulative P&L (no reinvestment).

📅 Return per year

YearTradesWinrateP&LReturnPFEquity end of year
20203529%+$3,272+32.7%2.29$13,272
202115427%+$5,218+39.3%1.42$18,490
202213138%+$25,806+139.6%3.19$44,296
202313926%+$3,211+7.2%1.25$47,506
202412931%+$12,695+26.7%1.95$60,202
20259033%+$4,982+8.3%1.45$65,184
20266234%+$10,781+16.5%1.88$75,965
Return = P&L of that year ÷ equity at start of year. Equity grows linearly with fixed 3 options per trade (no compounding).

⚖️ Comparison: MNQ Futures vs QQQ Options

MetricMNQ futures (3c)QQQ options (3c)
Trades741740
Total P&L+$49,725+$65,965
Final equity$59,725$75,965
CAGR+35.7%+41.4%
Winrate32.5%30.9%
Profit Factor1.361.87
Max DD−22.8%−10.7%
Losing streak1212
Worst trade$-1,477$-714
Both with fixed 3 contracts/options per signal, $10,000 start, costs included (MNQ $5/contract, options $2/contract round-trip).

⚠️ Important to know